Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Preston Tucker: A Generation Too Late


Ask your parents or grandparents about the Tucker'48. After World War II everyone wanted one of these sleek new cars of the future--but only fifty people ever got one. 

George Lucas and Francis Ford Coppola brought this story to screen in Tucker: The Man and His Dream. The movie dramatically illustrates the dangers of a mixed economy, with its meddling bureaucrats and myriad behind-the-scenes "arrangements" between politicians and businessmen. Central to the idea of free enterprise is the freedom of entrepreneurs to bring new competition into any industry--freedom to succeed by offering consumers a better product, and the equal freedom to fail. But though most businessmen claim to support free-enterprise, far fewer favor new competition in their own industry.

"Creative Destruction" is the phrase economist Joseph Schumpeter used to describe the innovation and competition in a free economy (see "MTV & capitalism's creative destruction" in Econ, fall, 1987). Preston Tucker was a visionary, innovator, and entrepreneur. His vision was of an automobile on technology's cutting edge, incorporating an aluminum engine, independent suspension, fuel injection, disc brakes, seat belts, and other innovations not seen outside the racetracks of his day. Many remember the Tucker'48 for its middle headlight that turned with the steering wheel.

Entrepreneurial vision by itself is not enough, and Preston Tucker needed financing to turn his dream car into reality. From the very beginning Tucker ran into stiff opposition from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), an agency of the federal government. Even his first sales of franchises (the right to sell future Tucker automobiles, if and when they were produced) brought an SEC investigation. Tucker complained that selling dealerships wasn't the same as issuing stock, but the SEC investigated anyway.

The SEC later caused costly delays in approving the initial Tucker stock offering. By selling stock in Tucker Corporation to the public, Tucker was inviting them to join his enterprise, to become part-owners and accept the risk of ownership--by sharing the profits of success, or the losses of failure. Funds raised from dealership and stock sales provided the money to design and build the first Tucker'48s.

But the SEC never stopped its harassment of Preston Tucker. The established auto industry didn't want new competition, and their "Senator from Detroit," Homer Ferguson, led the battle to crush Tucker Corporation. Further energizing the investigation of Tucker was SEC Commissioner Harry McDonald, also from Detroit. Regional SEC Chief Thomas B. Han apparently hated Tucker, and was relentless in his efforts to bring him down. The SEC may have spent more money investigating the Tucker Corporation than the Tucker Corporation spent designing and building the "car of the future."

Tucker: a Man and His Dream is the story of a dream extinguished by politicians and government bureaucrats who worked hand in hand with servile newspapers, corrupt journalists, and probably the big three automakers--Ford, General Motors and Chrysler. (How historically accurate is the movie in presenting the political and economic events of Tucker's venture? See notes below and links to separate articles.) Tucker's story sounds a warning we would do well to heed--40 years later--as today's politicians call for new federal direction of investment in the American economy, and the SEC continues its long running campaign against Drexel Burnham Lambert and Michael Milken (author's note: this was originally written in 1988. Government prosecutors succeeded in driving Drexel out of business and putting Michael Milken in jail. Unjustly, in my opinion.).

Preston Tucker was not alone
The actual role played by Ford, GM, and Chrysler lobbyists in putting Tucker out of business is a question for historical research. American history offers many examples of congressmen and federal regulatory agencies protecting established companies from new competition. In a true free enterprise system, firms can only head off new competition by producing quality products efficiently, and keeping prices down. Had the Tucker Corporation survived, the Big Three automakers would probably have, decades earlier, adopted many of the Tucker'48's new technological and safety features.

The federal alphabet agencies have a long history of suppressing competition. The Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC), for example, according to many history textbooks, was set up to protect the consumer from the economic power of the railroads. That is how the government publicized the ICC, both then and now. Yet the original ICC legislation was drafted by railroad industry lawyers. The ICC was actually designed to protect established railroads from cutthroat competition"-- that is, competition from the Preston Tuckers of the day. [2]

In economics this is called the "capture theory" of regulation. The idea is that no matter how well-meaning a new regulatory agency is, before long the agency is "captured" by the industry it was designed to regulate. [3] The Federal Aviation Authority (FAA) was supposed to protect consumer safety by regulating the airlines. Instead, the FAA protected established airlines from competition--and virtually no new airlines were approved by the FAA from its founding until deregulation under the Carter administration.

Government by decree
Tucker biographer Charles T. Pearson explains the political economic system Preston Tucker had to battle, and entrepreneurs still battle today; "During the Roosevelt Administration there developed a system of government by decree, under which even minor officials practically made and enforced their own laws. In practice, it was reversion to an almost feudal form of government, in which heads of departments and bureaus became little dictators!'4 One of these "little dictators" was Wilson Wyatt, head of the National Housing Agency (NHA).

Launching a major enterprise stretched Tucker's business skills to the limit. He was stretched still further defending his enterprise from Wilson Wyatt and the NHA.
After World War II, the government disposed of many of the manufacturing facilities built during the war. Tucker, as the movie showed, bid for a giant empty plant in Chicago and an the right to lease it from the War assets Administration (WAA). But Wyatt's NHA tried to reverse the WAA decision and award the plant to the Lustron Corporation to build prefabricated housing. While Tucker was defending his private-sector financing efforts from ongoing SEC attacks, Wyatt had already lined up $12 million and $52 million government loans for Lustron from the Reconstruction Finance Corporation (RFC), the federal investment agency created during the New Deal. Tucker was drawn into this complicated political battle, which before it was over involved five government agencies. [5] Tucker fought back the only way he could, by finding politicians motivated and able to fight Wyatt, Senator Ferguson, and the others arrayed against him.

--- [Editor's Note: Reader Ed Moore emailed the following correction to my story. I received an earlier email arguing my account of events was inadequate (okay, actually he said it was just wrong). Anyway, here is Mr. Moore's email:
I realize that this article was written fourteen years ago. But its current posting on the web requires some response--especially since Lustron's story is far less well-known than Tucker's.
Wyatt had been rejected by the RFC for a $52 million dollar loan for Lustron Corp.--the company that Wyatt was trying to get the Chicago Dodge plant for.
I would also be careful quoting Coppola's movie since it is does contain some creative liberties that are not factual--if you watch the movie, the characters claim that Lustron was awarded the plant. This is not true. According to Senate committee hearing records, Wyatt's claim on the Chicago Dodge plant was rejected and also quashed Wyatt's hopes of getting money from the RFC for Lustron. Wyatt immediately resigned in protest.
As a matter of fact, Lustron was not awarded a loan until June 1947 and a plant in Columbus, OH.
Actually Tucker and Strandlund (Lustron's president and founder) probably had much in common as both had a dream of delivering a product that far exceeded in quality and vision what was currently being offered to consumers and both ran up against entrenched forces that desperately wanted to see their failure.]

On May 28, 1948, just when Tucker Corporation began to turn the corner with both its manufacturing challenges and financing difficulties, the SEC and the justice Department launched a dramatic new full-scale offensive. The SEC leaked news of an internal report it said would blow Tucker Corporation sky high. The leaks seemed aimed at influencing a then impaneled grand jury, which soon called for an indictment--and Tucker was dragged into court. Though the charges were later shown to be mostly fabricated by the Justice Department and the SEC, the damage was done. [need footnote here to support this claim.] In those pre-Watergate days the public had far more faith in its public officials, and Tucker's reputation and company were ruined.

In the movie, Tucker himself delivers a dramatic final summation to the jury. His speech echos the theme of Robert Higg's article Crisis and Leviathan in Econ Update, September, 1988--that the growth of cozy government/business relationships in America threatens both liberty and prosperity.

Actor Jeff Bridges, as Preston Tucker, shares his vision of America:
"When I was a boy I read about Edison, Ford, the Wright brothers. They were my heroes. Rags to riches wasn't just the name of a book. It was what this country was all about.

"We invented the free enterprise system, where anybody, no matter who he was, where he came from, what class he belonged to, if he came up with a better idea for anything, there was no limit to how far he could go.
"But I grew up a generation too late, I guess. The way the system works now, the loner, the crackpot, the dreamer with some damn-fool idea that ends up revolutionizing the world, well, someone like that is squashed by big business before he knows what hit him. The new bureaucrats would rather kill a new idea than let it rock the boat.
"If Benjamin Franklin were alive today, he'd probably get arrested for flying a kite without a license.
"We're all puffed up with ourselves right now because we invented the A-bomb and we beat the daylights out of the Nazis and the Japanese …but if big business closes the door to the little guy--you, me--the little guy with new ideas, we've not only closed the door to progress and hard work, we've sabotaged everything we fought for. We might just as well let the Japanese and the Germans walk in here and tell us what to do. What's the difference? If new ideas can't be allowed to flourish, then we've just exchanged one set of rulers for another. Right?" [6]
And one of the jurors quietly mutters: "Right!"

Retreat to the old world
In the old world, before American free-market economy developed, entrepreneurs needed the blessing of the state to survive. Kings granted monopolies to manufacturers, and subsidized enterprises they favored.

The two world wars partially returned the American economy to that age (see David Boaz' "The Moral Equivalent of War"). Preston Tucker's story illustrates the result. In his biography of Tucker, Charles Pearson lays bare the injustice of the system, as he compares the government's persecution of Tucker with its subsidies of industrialist Henry Kaiser.

Like Tucker, Henry Kaiser set out to build automobiles, but Kaiser had both the government's blessing and the government's money. Charles Pearson observes: "While Tucker was being tried [in court], Kaiser applied for and got a heavy RFC loan to develop and tool new models…"[7] Stock in Kaiser's automotive enterprise, says Pearson, "never paid a dividend, yet when the company failed there was no public investigation of what Kaiser had done with $54,000,000 of stockholders' money, why he needed more money, or where the car was he had promised when he sold his stock!" [7] Step by step Pearson compares Henry Kaiser's enterprise with Preston Tucker's. [click here for link]. The best man didn't win.

[For a contrasting view of the events and economics of Preston Tucker's enterprise, see:  The Tucker Car: Did the Big Guys Do It In? JANUARY 01, 1989 by MELVIN D. BARGER]

----

[From the October, 1988 issue of Econ, a publication of the Reason Foundation.]


1. See, for example, "History Defalsefied" chapter 2 in Henri Lepage's, Tomorrow Capitalism, Open Court, 1982; The Incredible Bread Machine, World Research Inc., San Diego, 1974, Burton Folsom, Entrepreneurs vs. the State, 1987 (available from Laissez-Faire Books, New York, NY); also see Robert Wiebe, Businessmen and Reform; James Weinstein, The Corporate Ideal and the Liberal State
2. Gabriel Kolko, Railroads & Regulation, 1877-1916, Princeton Univ. Press, 1965.
3. George Stigler, "The Theory of Economic Regulation" Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, Spring. 1971.
4. Charles T Pearson, The Indomitable Tin Goose:Preston liicker, a Biography, Pocket Books, 1960, p. 79.
5. Ibid., p. 77.
6. Robert Tine, Tucker: The Man and His Dream, Pocket Books, 1988, pp. 179-180.
7. Pearson, p. 205.
For further reading on the SEC, see The SEC and the Public Interest by S. Phillips andi. Zecher, MIT Press, 1981. For more on Preston Tucker see "A Tucker Memoir: A Dream as Bright as Its Chrome;" New York Times, September 18, 1988, (in Forum), by Philip S. Egan, author of the forthcoming Design and Destiny: The Making of the Tucker Automobile. Also see "Three Men and a Car," Autoweek cover story on Preston Tucker, July 4, 1988.

Monday, March 4, 2013

Finding a Cure for Cancer Research

So what if cures for cancer have been discovered, but not recognized or pursued? Causes of cancer, it turns out, have been discovered and then ignored, so maybe cures have been discovered, or at least ways of visualizing cures, but then left unfunded and disregarded.

This may sound impossible or at least unlikely, but through the history of medical research accomplished experts in particular fields have unintentionally delayed the next unexpected breakthroughs.  The successful microbe hunters were often entrepreneur interlopers whose fields and research ideas were not thought relevant or worth funding. Researching the history of malaria, yellow fever, tuberculosis and other diseases is sobering and depressing. Below is image of my disease bookshelf. Reading book after book on efforts to understand and treat malaria, as I did a few years ago, isn't good for your mental health (and reading the history of treatment for mental illness is even worse).



In the TED video below, Margaret Heffernan recounts Alice Stewart's 1950s research into rising childhood cancer.  Women medical researchers were rare in the 1950s and had difficulty getting research funding.  Dr. Stewart received a small grant from outside the medical establishment and began researching rising childhood cancer rates.  Surveys revealed a likely cancer cause and Dr. Stewart then documented and published her research, which was ignored for 25 years. This sad story is told in in the first few minutes of the TED presentation.


So this is one example of a cause of cancer discovered, documented, published, and then ignored for decades.

Roger Williams' research on biochemical individuality offers another avenue for understanding disease.  Williams' researched the role of nutrition and especially how dramatically different each person is in terms of nutritional needs.  We know that our bodies look different on the outside, but it turns out we are as different or more different on the inside.  Our hearts are in different places, are different sizes and shapes.  Our other internal organs various in shape and size from person to person, and their internal biochemistry varies too, much as our blood types are different.  Optimal vitamin and other nutrient needs vary from person to person, and without adequate diet and nutrition our personal individualized immune systems are less likely to capably deal with disease.

In this 1969 article in The Freeman, Williams outlines the findings of his research in biochemical individuality.

Here is another TED video with unexpected insights into the causes of cancer. Mina Bissell tells of her efforts over decades of cancer research, first to get funding for her ideas, and then to attract graduate students to expand research and communicate findings to a wider audience.  TED talks are one way to do an end run around the established cancer authorities who control funding of cancer research.  Dr. Bissell begins with a brief overview of genetics, which includes a big picture of President Obama.  This short bow to political authority may not please conservatives, but government pulls the funding levers for medical research.  Medical researchers critical of Presidents and Congressmen on key committees may find their research proposals and graduate students less welcome.

In any case, the 3-D cellular communication theory explained in this presentation seems to me similar to the mutual communications key to a healthy economy.  Just as nuclei and cells don't just issue biochemical order to surrounding tissue, companies can't order customers to buy their products.  Instead there is a complex dance of signals and adjustments between free people to coordinate actions in a market economy.  Apparently similar mutual signals and adjustments between cellular structures and surrounding tissues once thought inert are key to health.  When the 3-D structure collapses, healthy tissue turns cancerous.  And when the structure and communication is restored, cancerous tissue is quickly coordinated to health tissue.



It is a good thing that smart and wealthy people attend TED conferences (for one thing, tickets to attend in person are apparently $6,000).  And TED attendees inspired by presentations like these are likely to fund unorthodox cancer research and later fund start-up firms working to commercialize this research.



Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Mothers, Soap, and Washing Clothes

Companies are made up of people producing goods and services, and advertising for those good and services.  Proctor & Gamble produced this Proud Sponsor of Moms advertisement for the Olympics.  The international focus is great, and mirror's Proctor & Gamble's expansion into new markets in Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.

Not every child dives into sports enough to compete in the Olympics.  But the short video captures the daily schedule of childhood with the everyday joys and hard work of being a parent.



Among the everyday products from P & G are soaps for washing hands, hair, clothes, and dishes.  Every mother spends a lot of time washing because every child spends a lot of time getting dirty.  Washing consumes energy, and clothes washing consumes a lot of energy, either a mother's muscle power, or energy as electricity for the family washing machine.  P & G researchers, engineers, factory workers, salesmen, marketers, and delivery people bring these products to a billion plus customers around the world.

P & G can provide the latest technology laundry detergent for mothers around the world, but it can't provide the energy to power washing machines or dish washers.  Without dependable electricity, a mother's daily cleaning tasks are a lot harder and more time-consuming.

Hans Rosling addresses this challenge for the developing world with a story of his grandmother's first day with a washing machine.  This TED presentation brings his story to those in the wealthy west skeptical about electricity and the fossil fuels required to create it.



Grocery Stores are Strange When You’re a Stranger

If more people go on diets, I predict trouble.  
In my experience things tend to go wrong more often when people are hungry.  A lot more often.

One evening a few weeks ago, for example.

Headed to my hotel, hungry, I asked my phone for “grocery store.”  The closest was “99 Ranch Market.”  Empowered by modern smartphone technology, I drove to the nearby (western?) market.  I walked in looking for a few items for informal hotel room meals.  Well, it was a confusing and not western place with unusual (for me) food.  I couldn’t find anything I recognized, and decided to pass on the “Lunar New Year Poon Choi Feast.”

And the beer seemed expensive. 
So I left and asked my phone for another grocery store.  I started off but heard the dreaded: “GPS signal lost” and drove without guidance for awhile hoping either signal or store might be found.  Then I saw a “Grocery Outlet” ahead so drove to that.  It was closed (at 8 pm?).  

Maybe they save money by closing early.  Or maybe they just turn off the outside lights to save electricity, and only appeared closed.  Irritating.
Next I saw a “Sprouts” not too far away.  That seemed like it might be a grocery store of sorts.  But on the way, a Target appeared to one side.  

Targets have food, and clothes, and most everything else.  What could go wrong?

Sure enough, the Coors light at Target was much less expensive than at the 99 Ranch Market.  But it was also out of stock, at least for the 6- and 12-can packs.   30-can packs were in stock, but that’s more than I thought I could manage over a few days visiting California.
I picked up the various food items for dinner and snacks to last a couple days.  However,  Pleasanton is in a California county that has passed a no plastic bag law.  

Signs around the store asked if I was “ready for reusable bags.”  I sensed trouble, but had no idea what that meant and didn’t stop to read the fine print.

The new county regulations ban Target from providing plastic bags with purchased items.  So if you don’t bring your own bag you have to buy their paper bags.

In Seattle I have a Trader Joe’s reusable bag my sister gave me.  I have read they are okay to use, as long as you wash them regularly and don’t collect too many microbes carrying fresh fruits and vegetables. (Reusable Grocery Bags Can Kill (Unless Washed))

But I was not in Seattle and didn’t think to pack my reusable Trader Joe’s bag with me.  Not wanting to pay 10 cents for a bag on principle, I stuffed yogurt, sandwich meat, cheese, nuts and other items in my coat, shirt, pants, and managed to carry the rest.